IdentifyWithin 30 Days

Agile Talent Strategy Program - Renewal

ID: 7404527-40

Potential Value

$150,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

811

Client & Account

Client

Crest Resources

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

People Experience

Global Service Code

Integration Planning (47165)

People & Dates

Partner

Herrera Maria

Pursuit Leader

Hall Kimberly

Open Date

Feb 22, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 24, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Agile Talent Strategy Program - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

65.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$57,249

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.700
Sub-sector track record
+0.275
Opportunity business unit
+0.266

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

65.2%

Model A: Planning

58.5%

Model B: Early Signal

9.7%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

58.5%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.325
Service sub-line track record
-1.289
Lead sales credit %
-0.716

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (59%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

9.7%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-1.209
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.574
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.427

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (10%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).