Innovative Risk Management Architecture - FY25
ID: 7533594-30
Potential Value
$0
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
1966
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Supply Chain & Operations
Opportunity Sub-SL
Supply Chain & Operations´
Competency
Planning & Product Lifecyle Management (PLM) Transformation
Global Service Code
Budget Advisory (70106)
Partner
Williams Klaus
Pursuit Leader
Myers Andrew
Open Date
Dec 24, 2020
Anticipated Win Date
Aug 14, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Innovative Risk Management Architecture - FY25
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
49.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
49.0%
Model A: Planning
46.8%
Model B: Early Signal
27.9%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
46.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (47%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
27.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (28%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment, account business unit.