Sustainable Supply Chain Program - Extension
ID: 7507270-10
Potential Value
$60,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
188
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
Indirect
Competency
Indirect Tax - Core
Global Service Code
Regulatory Technology (79039)
Partner
Nguyen Helen
Pursuit Leader
Bell Klaus
Open Date
Nov 6, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Sustainable Supply Chain Program - Extension
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
72.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$11,492,936
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
72.9%
Model A: Planning
26.3%
Model B: Early Signal
2.6%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
26.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (26%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
2.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.