Identify30-60 Days

Proactive Program Management Renewal - Renewal

ID: 6217816-20

Potential Value

$2,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

127

Client & Account

Client

Cornerstone Defense Worldwide

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

People Experience

Global Service Code

Market Analysis (82042)

People & Dates

Partner

Fischer Olivier

Pursuit Leader

Nguyen Olivia

Open Date

Jan 6, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

May 29, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Proactive Program Management Renewal - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

80.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,515,951

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.819
Work type
+0.731
Recurring/additional sale
+0.392

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

80.3%

Model A: Planning

94.4%

Model B: Early Signal

87.4%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

94.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.574
Deal age (days since open)
-0.926
Lead sales credit %
-0.712

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (94%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

87.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.913
Service sub-line track record
-0.669
Recurring/additional sale
+0.595

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (87%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.