IdentifyOver 90 Days

Integrated Performance Management Enhancement

ID: 8850406-20

Potential Value

$750,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

127

Client & Account

Client

Cornerstone Defense Worldwide

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

People Experience

Global Service Code

Market Analysis (82042)

People & Dates

Partner

Fischer Olivier

Pursuit Leader

Chavez Mark

Open Date

Jan 6, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 28, 2028

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Integrated Performance Management Enhancement

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

80.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$342,206

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.738
Work type
+0.694
Recurring/additional sale
+0.368

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

80.5%

Model A: Planning

56.7%

Model B: Early Signal

59.1%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

56.7%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.621
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.313
Deal age (days since open)
-0.932

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (57%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

59.1%

Key Drivers

Deal size vs service line median
-0.885
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.835
Service sub-line track record
-0.692

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (59%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.