IdentifyOver 90 Days

High-Impact Procurement Strategy

ID: 5098751-10

Potential Value

$50,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

617

Client & Account

Client

Lunar Research Institute

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Business Planning, Reporting & Analytics

Global Service Code

Resource Planning - Management (92452)

People & Dates

Partner

Long Raymond

Pursuit Leader

Peterson Helmut

Open Date

Sep 3, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 31, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

High-Impact Procurement Strategy

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

52.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$21,172

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.673
Work type
+0.670
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.476

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

52.6%

Model A: Planning

80.5%

Model B: Early Signal

60.5%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

80.5%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.586
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.128
Recurring/additional sale
+0.721

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (81%). Factors working in favor: recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

60.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.802
Recurring/additional sale
+0.657
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.557

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (61%). Factors working in favor: recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity. Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal).