Enhanced Finance Transformation (Amended)
ID: 3375169-20
Potential Value
$2,500,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
190
Client
Epsilon Banking Agency
Account
Nexgen Security Corporation
City
Washington
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Gonzalez Haruki
Pursuit Leader
Suzuki Émilie
Open Date
Nov 4, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Enhanced Finance Transformation (Amended)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
23.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$118,702
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
23.2%
Model A: Planning
20.5%
Model B: Early Signal
5.0%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
20.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (21%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
5.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.