Responsive Process Improvement Renewal - FY25
ID: 9432003-20
Potential Value
$750,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
190
Client
Epsilon Banking Agency
Account
Nexgen Security Corporation
City
Washington
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy & Transformation
Competency
Enterprise Transformation
Global Service Code
Process Reengineering (74403)
Partner
Gonzalez Haruki
Pursuit Leader
Suzuki Émilie
Open Date
Nov 4, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Responsive Process Improvement Renewal - FY25
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
36.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$35,307
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
36.5%
Model A: Planning
12.9%
Model B: Early Signal
4.3%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
12.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.