PursueOver 90 Days

Automated Internal Audit Phase III - Pilot

ID: 9593903-30

Potential Value

$2,500,000

Deal Value

$12,500,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

1966

Client & Account

Client

Iron Enterprises

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Integrated Risk Management

Global Service Code

Diversity Programs (52033)

People & Dates

Partner

Williams Klaus

Pursuit Leader

Myers Andrew

Open Date

Dec 24, 2020

Anticipated Win Date

Aug 14, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Automated Internal Audit Phase III - Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

28.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$257,980

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.584
Service sub-line track record
-0.501
Deal size (log scale)
-0.387

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

28.1%

Model A: Planning

36.7%

Model B: Early Signal

6.5%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

36.7%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.357
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.036
Market segment
-0.428

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (37%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

6.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.840
Deal size
-0.597
Service sub-line track record
-0.530

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size, service sub-line track record.