Predictive Cost Optimization Pilot (Revised)
ID: 3468683-40
Potential Value
$1
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
20%
Days in Pipeline
513
Client
Quantum Digital Foundation
City
Philadelphia
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Finance
Opportunity Sub-SL
Finance´
Competency
Business Planning, Reporting & Analytics
Global Service Code
Internal Controls - Management (52177)
Partner
Hall Justin
Pursuit Leader
Ruiz Samuel
Open Date
Dec 16, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
May 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Predictive Cost Optimization Pilot (Revised)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
16.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
16.9%
Model A: Planning
27.0%
Model B: Early Signal
15.5%
Stated Probability
20%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
27.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (27%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
15.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (16%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, currency (usd vs other).