ClosingPast Due

Adaptive Sustainability Renewal - FY26

ID: 1486812-30

Potential Value

$83,430

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

90%

Days in Pipeline

155

Client & Account

Client

Lunar Healthcare Group

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

CBS & Elim

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

ITTS (Elim)

Competency

ITTS - ITTS Advisory (Elim)

Global Service Code

Grant Management (50417)

People & Dates

Partner

Schulz Jacqueline

Pursuit Leader

Reddy Martha

Open Date

Dec 9, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Adaptive Sustainability Renewal - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

85.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$70,076

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.799
Opportunity business unit
+0.436
Renewal pursuit
+0.404

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

85.0%

Model A: Planning

98.8%

Model B: Early Signal

95.4%

Stated Probability

90%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

98.8%

Key Drivers

Market segment
-1.381
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.958
Lead sales credit %
-0.892

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (99%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

95.4%

Key Drivers

Market segment
-0.777
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.753
Service sub-line track record
+0.725

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (95%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record. Factors working against: market segment.