IdentifyOver 90 Days

Adaptive Cybersecurity Initiative - FY25

ID: 5569702-20

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

91

Client & Account

Client

Sapphire Regional Development

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Taylor Fritz

Pursuit Leader

Schneider Jean-Paul

Open Date

Feb 11, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Adaptive Cybersecurity Initiative - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

18.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.621
Service sub-line track record
-0.558
Deal size vs service line median
-0.356

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

18.7%

Model A: Planning

25.5%

Model B: Early Signal

12.2%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

25.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.925
Service sub-line track record
-0.809
Lead sales credit %
-0.637

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (26%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

12.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.617
Service sub-line track record
-0.481
Sub-sector track record
-0.366

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.