PursuePast Due

Core Finance Platform - Phase 3

ID: 9870137-20

Potential Value

$1,250,000

Deal Value

$14,000,000

Stated Probability

75%

Days in Pipeline

153

Client & Account

Client

Sapphire Regional Development

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Product & Service Innovation

Global Service Code

Identity Management (86343)

People & Dates

Partner

Taylor Fritz

Pursuit Leader

Schneider Jean-Paul

Open Date

Dec 11, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Finance Platform - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

78.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$926,009

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.886
Work type
+0.724
Recurring/additional sale
+0.395

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

78.9%

Model A: Planning

93.9%

Model B: Early Signal

67.9%

Stated Probability

75%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

93.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.509
Lead sales credit %
-0.623
Recurring/additional sale
+0.579

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (94%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

67.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.047
Deal size vs service line median
-0.645
Service sub-line track record
-0.530

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (68%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.