Identify60-90 Days

Global Program Management Initiative

ID: 5228544-40

Potential Value

$9,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

470

Client & Account

Client

Quantum Digital Foundation

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Business Planning, Reporting & Analytics

Global Service Code

Internal Controls - Management (52177)

People & Dates

Partner

Hall Justin

Pursuit Leader

Ruiz Samuel

Open Date

Jan 28, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 6, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Global Program Management Initiative

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

38.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$485,971

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.566
Service sub-line track record
-0.477
US Federal business unit
-0.341

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

38.4%

Model A: Planning

14.1%

Model B: Early Signal

4.3%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

14.1%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.864
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.349
Deal size vs service line median
-1.017

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (14%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.861
Deal size vs service line median
-0.734
Service sub-line track record
-0.651

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.