IdentifyOver 90 Days

Enhanced Quality Assurance Phase III (Amended)

ID: 6342942-30

Potential Value

$250,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

482

Client & Account

Client

Frontier Security Holdings

City

Boston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

AI and Data Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Intelligent Analytics Platform (20383)

People & Dates

Partner

Lewis Jing

Pursuit Leader

Chavez Mark

Open Date

Jan 16, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 17, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Enhanced Quality Assurance Phase III (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

40.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$22,161

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.668
Service sub-line track record
-0.439
Opportunity business unit
+0.323

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

40.7%

Model A: Planning

21.8%

Model B: Early Signal

11.1%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

21.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.890
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.895
Lead sales credit %
-0.643

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (22%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

11.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.774
Service sub-line track record
-0.658
Deal size
-0.411

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.