IdentifyOver 90 Days

Optimized Talent Strategy Diagnostic

ID: 1253476-50

Potential Value

$0

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

1189

Client & Account

Client

Crimson Transport Cooperative

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

FAAS

Competency

FAAS - Financial applications, processes and analytics

Global Service Code

Integration Planning (36739)

People & Dates

Partner

Suzuki Michelle

Pursuit Leader

Williams Benjamin

Open Date

Feb 9, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

May 31, 2028

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Optimized Talent Strategy Diagnostic

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

55.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.601
Service sub-line track record
-0.570
Opportunity business unit
+0.498

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

55.0%

Model A: Planning

40.5%

Model B: Early Signal

13.3%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

40.5%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.372
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.893
Lead sales credit %
-0.684

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (41%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

13.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.600
Service sub-line track record
-0.558
Sub-sector track record
-0.415

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.