IdentifyOver 90 Days

Multi-Phase Inclusion & Diversity Analysis - Renewal

ID: 4078846-30

Potential Value

$25,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

800

Client & Account

Client

Sapphire Regional Development

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Disaster Recovery (42200)

People & Dates

Partner

Young Jean

Pursuit Leader

Ortiz Grace

Open Date

Mar 4, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 31, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Multi-Phase Inclusion & Diversity Analysis - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

55.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$9,277

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.653
Opportunity business unit
+0.510
Service sub-line track record
-0.508

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

55.2%

Model A: Planning

67.3%

Model B: Early Signal

25.1%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

67.3%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.440
Lead sales credit %
-0.798
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.646

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (67%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

25.1%

Key Drivers

Currency (USD vs other)
-0.552
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.523
Service sub-line track record
-0.520

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (25%). Factors working against: currency (usd vs other), brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.