QualifyOver 90 Days

Next-Gen Service Delivery Architecture

ID: 9630528-10

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

259

Client & Account

Client

Frontier Security Holdings

City

Boston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Girard Charlotte

Pursuit Leader

Chavez Mark

Open Date

Aug 27, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Next-Gen Service Delivery Architecture

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

53.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$73,679

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.625
Opportunity business unit
+0.425
Deal size
-0.378

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

53.8%

Model A: Planning

27.4%

Model B: Early Signal

4.5%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

27.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.196
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.925
Lead sales credit %
-0.729

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (27%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.859
Deal size
-0.560
Service sub-line track record
-0.530

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size, service sub-line track record.