ClosingPast Due

Scalable Stakeholder Engagement Deployment (Amended)

ID: 9252365-40

Potential Value

$4,500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

35%

Days in Pipeline

169

Client & Account

Client

Sapphire Regional Development

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Thomas Kevin

Pursuit Leader

Schneider Jean-Paul

Open Date

Nov 25, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 27, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Scalable Stakeholder Engagement Deployment (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

24.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$316,101

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.680
Service sub-line track record
-0.469
Deal size (log scale)
-0.330

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

24.6%

Model A: Planning

28.5%

Model B: Early Signal

3.7%

Stated Probability

35%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

28.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.177
Lead sales credit %
-0.729
Deal age (days since open)
-0.652

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (29%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.869
Service sub-line track record
-0.574
Deal size
-0.488

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.