ClosingOver 90 Days

Predictive Tax Reform Strategy - FY26

ID: 2259555-30

Potential Value

$469,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

110

Client & Account

Client

Keystone Foundation

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

Indirect

Competency

Indirect Tax - Core

Global Service Code

Platform Engineering (89490)

People & Dates

Partner

Wright William

Pursuit Leader

Ward Katherine

Open Date

Jan 23, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Aug 3, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Predictive Tax Reform Strategy - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

95.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$433,701

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.788
Non-recurring work
+0.697
Renewal pursuit
+0.427

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

95.6%

Model A: Planning

96.8%

Model B: Early Signal

84.3%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

96.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.813
Deal age (days since open)
-1.070
Lead sales credit %
-0.840

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (97%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

84.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.199
Market segment
-0.571
Service sub-line track record
-0.524

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (84%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, service sub-line track record.