IdentifyOver 90 Days

Unified Operations Automation (Revised)

ID: 8065387-50

Potential Value

$5,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

952

Client & Account

Client

Nova Cooperative

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Schäfer Scott

Pursuit Leader

Parker Gregory

Open Date

Oct 4, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 26, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Unified Operations Automation (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

35.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$626,402

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.677
Service sub-line track record
-0.391
Deal size (log scale)
-0.328

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

35.4%

Model A: Planning

35.4%

Model B: Early Signal

3.6%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

35.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.445
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.031
Lead sales credit %
-0.776

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (35%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.918
Service sub-line track record
-0.648
Deal size
-0.564

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.