Sustainable Governance Engagement
ID: 5540371-30
Potential Value
$111,250
Deal Value
$111,250
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
149
Client
Onyx Operational International
City
San Francisco
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Integrity & Compliance
Global Service Code
Security Assessment (30891)
Partner
Hill François
Pursuit Leader
Reed Sandra
Open Date
Dec 15, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 13, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Sustainable Governance Engagement
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
70.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$28,348
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
70.9%
Model A: Planning
35.9%
Model B: Early Signal
13.6%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
35.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (36%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
13.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (14%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).