Modernized Technology Modernization Migration
ID: 6388467-10
Potential Value
$150,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
125
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Transactions & Corporate Finance
Competency
TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Identity Management - Compliance (62617)
Partner
Aguilar Jean-Paul
Pursuit Leader
Nguyen Olivia
Open Date
Jan 8, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Feb 27, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Modernized Technology Modernization Migration
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
63.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$22,231
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
63.7%
Model A: Planning
23.3%
Model B: Early Signal
6.8%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
23.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (23%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
6.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (7%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), sub-sector track record.