IdentifyOver 90 Days

Multi-Phase Market Entry Enhancement

ID: 7676186-40

Potential Value

$25,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

800

Client & Account

Client

Sapphire Regional Development

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Young Jean

Pursuit Leader

Ortiz Grace

Open Date

Mar 4, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 31, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Multi-Phase Market Entry Enhancement

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

38.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$6,957

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.683
Service sub-line track record
-0.460
Opportunity business unit
+0.278

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

38.3%

Model A: Planning

72.6%

Model B: Early Signal

27.1%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

72.6%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.505
Lead sales credit %
-0.823
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.653

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (73%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

27.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.525
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.517
Service sub-line track record
-0.460

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (27%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), service sub-line track record.