PursuePast Due

Responsive Risk Management Proof of Concept - Phase 3

ID: 1013525-30

Potential Value

$20,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

100%

Days in Pipeline

113

Client & Account

Client

Raven Technical Board

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Hall Feng

Pursuit Leader

Johansen Dieter

Open Date

Jan 20, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 18, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Responsive Risk Management Proof of Concept - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

91.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$17,601

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.752
Work type
+0.747
Opportunity business unit
+0.390

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

91.0%

Model A: Planning

96.8%

Model B: Early Signal

91.1%

Stated Probability

100%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

96.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.351
Deal age (days since open)
-0.799
Recurring/additional sale
+0.744

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (97%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

91.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.693
Recurring/additional sale
+0.629
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.506

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (91%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.