Predictive Risk Management Transformation - Pilot
ID: 2855942-30
Potential Value
$1
Deal Value
$3,300,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
212
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Jimenez Magnus
Pursuit Leader
De Boer Pablo
Open Date
Oct 13, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Predictive Risk Management Transformation - Pilot
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
43.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
43.3%
Model A: Planning
38.1%
Model B: Early Signal
19.5%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
38.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (38%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
19.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (19%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.