Identify60-90 Days

Comprehensive Talent Strategy Initiative - FY25

ID: 3299490-50

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

177

Client & Account

Client

Synergy Research Consortium

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Global Business Services

Global Service Code

Grant Management (35413)

People & Dates

Partner

Meyer Brenda

Pursuit Leader

Ruiz Samuel

Open Date

Nov 17, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Comprehensive Talent Strategy Initiative - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

38.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$59,922

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.556
Service sub-line track record
-0.518
US Federal business unit
-0.228

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

38.4%

Model A: Planning

31.3%

Model B: Early Signal

8.5%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

31.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.167
Lead sales credit %
-0.802
Service sub-line track record
-0.734

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (31%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

8.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.766
Service sub-line track record
-0.629
Deal size
-0.578

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.