PursuePast Due

Holistic Operations Framework - Phase 2

ID: 9415194-20

Potential Value

$1,800,000

Deal Value

$30,000,000

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

260

Client & Account

Client

Matrix Logistics

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Takahashi Debra

Pursuit Leader

De Boer Pablo

Open Date

Aug 26, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Holistic Operations Framework - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

34.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$392,347

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.617
Service sub-line track record
-0.484
Account track record
-0.289

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

34.9%

Model A: Planning

62.4%

Model B: Early Signal

9.9%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

62.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.167
Lead sales credit %
-0.730
Service sub-line track record
-0.525

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (62%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

9.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.929
Service sub-line track record
-0.609
Market segment
-0.459

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (10%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.