Closing30-60 Days

Critical Technology Modernization Transformation

ID: 2265930-50

Potential Value

-$4,100

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

100%

Days in Pipeline

365

Client & Account

Client

Onyx Compliance Consortium

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Audit & Governance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Audit

Competency

Audit (CORE)

Global Service Code

Digital Enablement (53508)

People & Dates

Partner

Wright Emily

Pursuit Leader

Murphy Karin

Open Date

May 21, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 21, 2026

Close Date

May 21, 2026

Details

Description

Critical Technology Modernization Transformation

Outcome Reason

Due to process

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

97.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

-$3,912

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.908
Service sub-line track record
+0.635
Non-recurring work
+0.615

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

97.4%

Model A: Planning

97.9%

Model B: Early Signal

97.7%

Stated Probability

100%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

97.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.449
Lead sales credit %
-0.900
Deal age (days since open)
-0.749

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (98%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

97.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.726
Market segment
-0.609
Deal size vs service line median
+0.573

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (98%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median. Factors working against: market segment.