Identify60-90 Days

Extended IT Infrastructure Renewal - FY26

ID: 4168201-10

Potential Value

$1,500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

671

Client & Account

Client

Diamond Security Consulting

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Disaster Recovery (42200)

People & Dates

Partner

Turner Benjamin

Pursuit Leader

Cruz Beverly

Open Date

Jul 11, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Extended IT Infrastructure Renewal - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

56.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$436,557

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.631
Service sub-line track record
-0.423
Deal size vs service line median
+0.395

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

56.9%

Model A: Planning

51.1%

Model B: Early Signal

4.7%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

51.1%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.118
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.072
Deal age (days since open)
+0.915

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (51%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.958
Service sub-line track record
-0.572
Deal size vs service line median
-0.501

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.