IdentifyOver 90 Days

Responsive Stakeholder Engagement Renewal (Amended)

ID: 6367760-40

Potential Value

$100,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

282

Client & Account

Client

Maple Security Technologies

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Privacy Management (52422)

People & Dates

Partner

Aguilar Jean-Paul

Pursuit Leader

Nguyen Olivia

Open Date

Aug 4, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 1, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Responsive Stakeholder Engagement Renewal (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

44.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$31,136

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.658
Service sub-line track record
-0.497
Opportunity business unit
+0.434

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

44.3%

Model A: Planning

70.3%

Model B: Early Signal

55.4%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

70.3%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.441
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.394
Lead sales credit %
-0.673

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (70%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

55.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.983
Service sub-line track record
-0.519
Sub-sector track record
-0.396

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (55%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.