Optimized Procurement Program - Pilot
ID: 9776966-50
Potential Value
$200,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
282
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Transactions & Corporate Finance
Competency
TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Regulatory Compliance (61122)
Partner
Aguilar Jean-Paul
Pursuit Leader
Nguyen Olivia
Open Date
Aug 4, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jan 1, 2027
Close Date
N/A
Description
Optimized Procurement Program - Pilot
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
51.8%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$56,205
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
51.8%
Model A: Planning
54.2%
Model B: Early Signal
41.3%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
54.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (54%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
41.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (41%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.