Extended Program Management Implementation - FY25
ID: 2559025-20
Potential Value
$2,500,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
387
Client
Nordic Aerospace International
Account
Foundation Public Logistics
City
Dallas
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Digital and Technology Risk Management
Global Service Code
Credit Risk Advisory (57516)
Partner
Gupta Miguel
Pursuit Leader
Williams Michael
Open Date
Apr 21, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Extended Program Management Implementation - FY25
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
29.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$214,474
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
29.4%
Model A: Planning
29.2%
Model B: Early Signal
6.1%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
29.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (29%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
6.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size, service sub-line track record.