Closing30-60 Days

Extended Operations Redesign - Phase 2

ID: 8972146-20

Potential Value

$4,100

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

100%

Days in Pipeline

365

Client & Account

Client

Onyx Compliance Consortium

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Audit & Governance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Audit

Competency

Audit (CORE)

Global Service Code

Digital Enablement (53508)

People & Dates

Partner

Wright Emily

Pursuit Leader

Murphy Karin

Open Date

May 21, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 21, 2026

Close Date

May 21, 2026

Details

Description

Extended Operations Redesign - Phase 2

Outcome Reason

Due to process

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

97.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$3,945

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.908
Service sub-line track record
+0.635
Non-recurring work
+0.615

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

97.4%

Model A: Planning

98.7%

Model B: Early Signal

97.5%

Stated Probability

100%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

98.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.443
Lead sales credit %
-0.949
Deal age (days since open)
-0.830

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (99%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

97.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.703
Market segment
-0.626
Region track record
+0.534

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (98%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), region track record. Factors working against: market segment.