Optimized Tax Reform Strategy - Renewal
ID: 7232964-10
Potential Value
$520,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
281
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
Organization & People
Competency
People Experience
Global Service Code
Market Analysis (82042)
Partner
Weber Maria
Pursuit Leader
Smith Wei
Open Date
Aug 5, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jul 4, 2028
Close Date
N/A
Description
Optimized Tax Reform Strategy - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
87.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$392,618
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
87.5%
Model A: Planning
86.3%
Model B: Early Signal
88.5%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
86.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (86%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
88.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (88%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.