Enterprise Risk Management Analysis
ID: 5268906-10
Potential Value
$25,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
201
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Ramirez Kevin
Pursuit Leader
Ortiz Grace
Open Date
Oct 24, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 17, 2028
Close Date
N/A
Description
Enterprise Risk Management Analysis
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
59.1%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$1,172,540
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
59.1%
Model A: Planning
7.9%
Model B: Early Signal
4.1%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
7.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.