Sustainable Tax Reform Proof of Concept
ID: 5223437-10
Potential Value
$1,080,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
546
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
Organization & People
Competency
People Experience
Global Service Code
Market Analysis (82042)
Partner
Weber Maria
Pursuit Leader
Smith Wei
Open Date
Nov 13, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Jul 8, 2027
Close Date
N/A
Description
Sustainable Tax Reform Proof of Concept
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
81.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$757,357
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
81.4%
Model A: Planning
86.2%
Model B: Early Signal
80.9%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
86.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (86%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
80.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (81%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.