QualifyDeclined

High-Impact Quality Assurance Extension

ID: 1610222-30

Potential Value

$3,185

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

90%

Days in Pipeline

0

Client & Account

Client

Apex Alliance

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

Organization & Workforce Transformation

Global Service Code

Environmental Compliance - Compliance (54455)

People & Dates

Partner

Ward Wei

Pursuit Leader

Cruz Raj

Open Date

Sep 9, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Oct 2, 2025

Close Date

Sep 9, 2025

Details

Description

High-Impact Quality Assurance Extension

Outcome Reason

Duplicate entry

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

32.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$391

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.619
Jamaica geographic factor
-0.587
Service sub-line track record
-0.424

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

32.5%

Model A: Planning

37.8%

Model B: Early Signal

54.1%

Stated Probability

90%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

37.8%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-1.382
Deal age (days since open)
-0.877
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.867

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (38%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, deal age (days since open), brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

54.1%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.962
Jamaica geographic factor
+0.605
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.395

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (54%). Factors working in favor: jamaica geographic factor. Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).