Critical Regulatory Reporting Renewal - Pilot
ID: 3699200-30
Potential Value
$20,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
267
Client
Nordic Government Network
City
Denver
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Financial Risk Management
Global Service Code
Cybersecurity Operations (48230)
Partner
Yang Pablo
Pursuit Leader
Perry Elizabeth
Open Date
Aug 19, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Critical Regulatory Reporting Renewal - Pilot
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
57.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$8,248
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
57.5%
Model A: Planning
71.8%
Model B: Early Signal
39.4%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
71.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (72%). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
39.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (39%). Factors working against: currency (usd vs other), brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.