Transformative Supply Chain Scale-Up - Renewal
ID: 9562489-50
Potential Value
-$2,699,232
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
80%
Days in Pipeline
730
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Customer & Growth
Opportunity Sub-SL
Customer & Growth
Competency
Marketing Transformation
Global Service Code
Financial Modeling - Operations (53708)
Partner
Rogers Joseph
Pursuit Leader
De Vries Benjamin
Open Date
May 13, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Transformative Supply Chain Scale-Up - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
49.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
-$838,037
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
49.0%
Model A: Planning
63.3%
Model B: Early Signal
35.1%
Stated Probability
80%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
63.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (63%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
35.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (35%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, deal size.