ClosingOver 90 Days

Integrated Workforce Planning Redesign - Phase 3

ID: 9223615-40

Potential Value

$2,799,980

Deal Value

$2,779,833

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

694

Client & Account

Client

Maple Aerospace Advisors

City

Tokyo

Region

Former Area Mgmt

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Jimenez Magnus

Pursuit Leader

Hernandez Priya

Open Date

Jun 18, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Aug 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Integrated Workforce Planning Redesign - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

76.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,182,179

Key Triage Drivers

Sub-sector track record
+0.646
Work type
+0.559
Deal size
+0.373

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

76.6%

Model A: Planning

55.1%

Model B: Early Signal

10.1%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

55.1%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.289
Deal age (days since open)
+1.067
Deal size
-0.890

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (55%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal size.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

10.1%

Key Drivers

Deal size
-0.869
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.855
Service sub-line track record
-0.788

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (10%). Factors working against: deal size, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.