IdentifyPast Due

Predictive Program Management Deployment

ID: 9709181-20

Potential Value

$1,282,526

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

203

Client & Account

Client

River Maritime Consulting

City

Boston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Perez Charles

Pursuit Leader

Becker Gloria

Open Date

Oct 22, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 6, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Predictive Program Management Deployment

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

55.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$175,964

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.694
Service sub-line track record
-0.582
Region track record
+0.378

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

55.4%

Model A: Planning

24.8%

Model B: Early Signal

4.9%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

24.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.138
Service sub-line track record
-1.039
Deal age (days since open)
-0.957

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (25%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.9%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.806
Deal size
-0.775
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.767

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, deal size, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).