Multi-Phase Tax Reform Diagnostic
ID: 4434346-40
Potential Value
$172,500
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
195
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
Indirect
Competency
Indirect Tax - Core
Global Service Code
Platform Engineering (89490)
Partner
Herrera Jessica
Pursuit Leader
Brooks Jacob
Open Date
Oct 30, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Multi-Phase Tax Reform Diagnostic
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
77.8%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$63,358
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
77.8%
Model A: Planning
47.2%
Model B: Early Signal
9.8%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
47.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (47%). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
9.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (10%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.