ClosingWithin 30 Days

End-to-End Procurement Proof of Concept

ID: 1959782-40

Potential Value

$553,856

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

80%

Days in Pipeline

588

Client & Account

Client

Epsilon Civic Enterprises

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Marketing Transformation

Global Service Code

Financial Modeling - Operations (53708)

People & Dates

Partner

Rogers Joseph

Pursuit Leader

De Vries Benjamin

Open Date

Oct 2, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

End-to-End Procurement Proof of Concept

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

45.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$105,598

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.667
Service sub-line track record
-0.448
Deal size
-0.440

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

45.0%

Model A: Planning

42.4%

Model B: Early Signal

13.5%

Stated Probability

80%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

42.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.261
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.952
Service sub-line track record
-0.718

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (42%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

13.5%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.685
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.639
Region track record
+0.508

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (14%). Factors working in favor: region track record. Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).