Innovative Finance Workshop - FY25
ID: 6781272-40
Potential Value
$8,000,000
Deal Value
$8,000,000
Stated Probability
40%
Days in Pipeline
409
Client
Nordic Aerospace International
Account
Foundation Public Logistics
City
Dallas
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Supply Chain & Operations
Opportunity Sub-SL
Supply Chain & Operations´
Competency
Supply Chain Transformation
Global Service Code
Manufacturing Advisory - Transformation (50093)
Partner
Jimenez Fritz
Pursuit Leader
Schulz Joseph
Open Date
Mar 30, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2027
Close Date
N/A
Description
Innovative Finance Workshop - FY25
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
45.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$669,760
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
45.5%
Model A: Planning
18.4%
Model B: Early Signal
8.2%
Stated Probability
40%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
18.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (18%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
8.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, deal size.