IdentifyWithin 30 Days

Responsive Governance Blueprint - FY26

ID: 6426619-10

Potential Value

$750,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

229

Client & Account

Client

Genesis Energy Systems

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Chavez Doris

Pursuit Leader

Kobayashi Jeffrey

Open Date

Sep 26, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Responsive Governance Blueprint - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

44.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$171,978

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.609
Service sub-line track record
-0.471
Deal size
-0.238

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

44.1%

Model A: Planning

52.0%

Model B: Early Signal

9.2%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

52.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.080
Lead sales credit %
-0.721
Service sub-line track record
-0.702

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (52%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

9.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.793
Service sub-line track record
-0.569
Deal size
-0.494

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.