Advanced Change Management Roadmap - Extension
ID: 5444810-30
Potential Value
$6,762,702
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
85%
Days in Pipeline
232
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Incident Response & Resilience
Global Service Code
Mediation Services (94774)
Partner
Ward Linda
Pursuit Leader
Ross Diana
Open Date
Sep 23, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jul 5, 2027
Close Date
N/A
Description
Advanced Change Management Roadmap - Extension
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
95.8%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$5,612,932
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
95.8%
Model A: Planning
86.6%
Model B: Early Signal
76.3%
Stated Probability
85%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
86.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (87%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal size vs service line median.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
76.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (76%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median.