Digital Risk Management Program
ID: 9552721-40
Potential Value
$18,925
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
131
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
PAS - Tax
Competency
PAS - People Mobility Core
Global Service Code
Market Analysis (64214)
Partner
Leroy Jeffrey
Pursuit Leader
Pedersen Nancy
Open Date
Jan 2, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Jan 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Digital Risk Management Program
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
74.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$11,635
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
74.0%
Model A: Planning
83.1%
Model B: Early Signal
67.1%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
83.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (83%). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
67.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (67%). Factors working in favor: sub-sector track record. Factors working against: currency (usd vs other), brand new pursuit (vs renewal).