ClosingOver 90 Days

Dynamic Compliance Pilot - Renewal

ID: 3691170-40

Potential Value

$960,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

100%

Days in Pipeline

215

Client & Account

Client

Cedar Regional Worldwide

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Audit & Governance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Audit

Competency

Audit (CORE)

Global Service Code

Trade Compliance (46686)

People & Dates

Partner

Gray Feng

Pursuit Leader

Butler Susan

Open Date

Oct 10, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Oct 10, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Dynamic Compliance Pilot - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

96.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$877,507

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.763
Non-recurring work
+0.747
Service sub-line track record
+0.418

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

96.9%

Model A: Planning

94.4%

Model B: Early Signal

83.2%

Stated Probability

100%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

94.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.790
Lead sales credit %
-0.896
Deal age (days since open)
-0.686

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (94%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

83.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.130
Market segment
-0.661
Account business unit
-0.528

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (83%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.