Optimized Cost Optimization Proof of Concept
ID: 9120336-10
Potential Value
$1
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
70%
Days in Pipeline
261
Client
Cedar Agricultural Commission
Account
Trailblazer Foundation
City
Lyon
Region
Europe West
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Sustainability
Opportunity Sub-SL
Law
Competency
Law - Sustainability
Global Service Code
Fund Administration (63814)
Partner
Peterson André
Pursuit Leader
Meyer Joshua
Open Date
Aug 25, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 25, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Optimized Cost Optimization Proof of Concept
Outcome Reason
<CONFIDENTIAL>
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
86.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
86.7%
Model A: Planning
24.2%
Model B: Early Signal
24.9%
Stated Probability
70%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
24.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (24%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
24.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (25%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.